Odds

2026 March Madness

Odds

2026 March Madness

Odds

2026 March Madness

Historical Odds

How often each score-digit combination has historically won in NCAA tournament games.

	6	0	3	5	2	4	8	9	7	1
3	TMMayes1.00	MCCrabtree1.05	NAAkins0.86	MSSimpson0.86	JHHaithcoat1.14	MSSkellan0.77	RDDavis0.82	BWWilley1.23	RSSachan0.95	JBBaskin1.55
8	RHHanlon1.27	CVVlahos0.64	RWWhitley1.23	GCChilds1.27	JJJackson0.95	BGGuy0.86	DBBranton1.00	SDDave0.82	EHHardesty0.91	TMMcAfee1.05
5	JSStribling1.00	RSSachan1.36	CPPeck1.46	JBBaskin0.68	KMMcMillin1.68	RTThompson1.27	NFFollowill1.09	MSSimpson0.95	CNNewman1.09	MSSkellan1.09
6	KMMcMillin0.73	EHHardesty0.86	NFFollowill1.32	SDDave1.27	JGGoodfriend1.05	BKKeally1.14	MSSimpson0.95	CPPoe0.64	JJJackson0.73	CVVlahos0.82
2	KPPyle1.09	BAAllan1.82	MSSimpson0.91	BSShelton0.91	JTTitcombe0.82	TBBethel0.91	BKKeally1.68	TMMayes1.05	SLLee0.77	MCCrabtree0.91
7	CZZaring0.91	WSSteese0.95	KPPyle1.41	TMMcAfee1.14	MSSimpson1.00	SCColeman1.36	JRRamsey0.95	RHHanlon0.77	ANNaddell0.50	NFFollowill0.95
4	JBBaskin0.86	BWWilley0.68	BKKeally1.14	TMMayes0.68	NAAkins1.00	RSSachan0.86	JSStribling0.64	MCCrabtree1.23	JHHaithcoat0.68	SDDave1.55
1	NFFollowill1.23	BFFoster0.73	SLLee0.64	RHHanlon0.64	CVVlahos0.64	WSSteese1.14	CPPoe1.36	MAAmour1.36	JGGoodfriend1.05	KMMcMillin0.86
9	RTThompson1.09	MSSimpson0.73	SGGordon0.73	MCCrabtree1.23	RDDavis0.95	RHHanlon0.77	EHHardesty1.32	JBBaskin0.59	CZZaring1.27	TMMayes0.82
0	DBBranton0.77	CNNewman0.86	KMMcMillin0.91	CPPoe0.86	TCConstantine0.86	CPPeck1.00	TMMayes1.14	APPatton1.05	MSSimpson0.91	KAAllen0.91

0.50% (worst)Source1.82% (best)

The Pool

Combined historical probability across all squares per participant.

#	Name	Sq	%	Breakdown
1	Matt Simpson	7	7.87%	1.46%1.27%1.23%1.14%1.05%0.95%0.77%
1.46%1.27%1.23%1.14%1.05%0.95%0.77%
2	Taylor Mayes	5	5.54%	1.36%1.32%1.27%0.95%0.64%
1.36%1.32%1.27%0.95%0.64%
3	Rick Hanlon	4	4.54%	1.27%1.23%1.09%0.95%
1.27%1.23%1.09%0.95%
4	Nathan Followill	4	4.14%	1.27%1.05%1.00%0.82%
1.27%1.05%1.00%0.82%
5	Kent McMillin	4	3.55%	1.05%0.91%0.86%0.73%
1.05%0.91%0.86%0.73%
6	Charley Poe	3	3.50%	1.36%1.09%1.05%
1.36%1.09%1.05%
7	Soupa Dave	3	3.46%	1.32%1.14%1.00%
1.32%1.14%1.00%
8	Chris Vlahos	3	3.28%	1.23%1.14%0.91%
1.23%1.14%0.91%
9	Matthew Crabtree	4	3.27%	0.95%0.91%0.77%0.64%
0.95%0.91%0.77%0.64%
10	Ravi Sachan	3	3.13%	1.41%0.86%0.86%
1.41%0.86%0.86%
11	Jamie Baskin	4	3.05%	1.14%0.68%0.64%0.59%
1.14%0.68%0.64%0.59%
12	Jerod Jackson	2	2.59%	1.68%0.91%
1.68%0.91%
13	Brent Keally	3	2.58%	0.95%0.86%0.77%
0.95%0.86%0.77%
14	Steve Lee	2	2.55%	1.55%1.00%
1.55%1.00%
15	Eric Hardesty	3	2.54%	0.95%0.82%0.77%
0.95%0.82%0.77%
16	Wesley Steese	2	2.46%	1.55%0.91%
1.55%0.91%
17	Travis McAfee	2	2.45%	1.36%1.09%
1.36%1.09%
18	Robby Davis	2	2.28%	1.23%1.05%
1.23%1.05%
19	Jeff Haithcoat	2	2.27%	1.36%0.91%
1.36%0.91%
20	Jake Stribling	2	2.13%	1.27%0.86%
1.27%0.86%
21	Jeff Goodfriend	2	2.04%	1.09%0.95%
1.09%0.95%
22	Clint Newman	2	2.00%	1.14%0.86%
1.14%0.86%
23	Kent Pyle	2	2.00%	1.05%0.95%
1.05%0.95%
24	David Branton	2	1.86%	1.00%0.86%
1.00%0.86%
25	Taylor Constantine	1	1.82%	1.82%
1.82%
26	Matt Skellan	2	1.78%	1.14%0.64%
1.14%0.64%
27	Nick Akins	2	1.77%	0.91%0.86%
0.91%0.86%
28	Ben Willey	2	1.73%	1.00%0.73%
1.00%0.73%
29	Brian Shelton	1	1.68%	1.68%
1.68%
30	Chris Peck	2	1.54%	0.86%0.68%
0.86%0.68%
31	Chad Zaring	2	1.50%	0.77%0.73%
0.77%0.73%
32	Ryan Thompson	2	1.32%	0.68%0.64%
0.68%0.64%
33	Scott Gordon	1	1.23%	1.23%
1.23%
34	Graham Childs	1	1.09%	1.09%
1.09%
35	Tommy Bethel	1	1.00%	1.00%
1.00%
36	Jeff Ramsey	1	0.91%	0.91%
0.91%
37	Ben Foster	1	0.91%	0.91%
0.91%
38	Brandon Allan	1	0.86%	0.86%
0.86%
39	Rob Whitley	1	0.82%	0.82%
0.82%
40	Justin Titcombe	1	0.82%	0.82%
0.82%
41	Mark St. Amour	1	0.82%	0.82%
0.82%
42	Andy Patton	1	0.73%	0.73%
0.73%
43	Kyle Allen	1	0.73%	0.73%
0.73%
44	Scott Coleman	1	0.68%	0.68%
0.68%
45	Brandon Guy	1	0.64%	0.64%
0.64%
46	Alex Naddell	1	0.50%	0.50%
0.50%

Historical Odds

How often each score-digit combination has historically won in NCAA tournament games.

	6	0	3	5	2	4	8	9	7	1
3	TMMayes1.00	MCCrabtree1.05	NAAkins0.86	MSSimpson0.86	JHHaithcoat1.14	MSSkellan0.77	RDDavis0.82	BWWilley1.23	RSSachan0.95	JBBaskin1.55
8	RHHanlon1.27	CVVlahos0.64	RWWhitley1.23	GCChilds1.27	JJJackson0.95	BGGuy0.86	DBBranton1.00	SDDave0.82	EHHardesty0.91	TMMcAfee1.05
5	JSStribling1.00	RSSachan1.36	CPPeck1.46	JBBaskin0.68	KMMcMillin1.68	RTThompson1.27	NFFollowill1.09	MSSimpson0.95	CNNewman1.09	MSSkellan1.09
6	KMMcMillin0.73	EHHardesty0.86	NFFollowill1.32	SDDave1.27	JGGoodfriend1.05	BKKeally1.14	MSSimpson0.95	CPPoe0.64	JJJackson0.73	CVVlahos0.82
2	KPPyle1.09	BAAllan1.82	MSSimpson0.91	BSShelton0.91	JTTitcombe0.82	TBBethel0.91	BKKeally1.68	TMMayes1.05	SLLee0.77	MCCrabtree0.91
7	CZZaring0.91	WSSteese0.95	KPPyle1.41	TMMcAfee1.14	MSSimpson1.00	SCColeman1.36	JRRamsey0.95	RHHanlon0.77	ANNaddell0.50	NFFollowill0.95
4	JBBaskin0.86	BWWilley0.68	BKKeally1.14	TMMayes0.68	NAAkins1.00	RSSachan0.86	JSStribling0.64	MCCrabtree1.23	JHHaithcoat0.68	SDDave1.55
1	NFFollowill1.23	BFFoster0.73	SLLee0.64	RHHanlon0.64	CVVlahos0.64	WSSteese1.14	CPPoe1.36	MAAmour1.36	JGGoodfriend1.05	KMMcMillin0.86
9	RTThompson1.09	MSSimpson0.73	SGGordon0.73	MCCrabtree1.23	RDDavis0.95	RHHanlon0.77	EHHardesty1.32	JBBaskin0.59	CZZaring1.27	TMMayes0.82
0	DBBranton0.77	CNNewman0.86	KMMcMillin0.91	CPPoe0.86	TCConstantine0.86	CPPeck1.00	TMMayes1.14	APPatton1.05	MSSimpson0.91	KAAllen0.91

0.50% (worst)Source1.82% (best)

The Pool

Combined historical probability across all squares per participant.

#	Name	Sq	%	Breakdown
1	Matt Simpson	7	7.87%	1.46%1.27%1.23%1.14%1.05%0.95%0.77%
1.46%1.27%1.23%1.14%1.05%0.95%0.77%
2	Taylor Mayes	5	5.54%	1.36%1.32%1.27%0.95%0.64%
1.36%1.32%1.27%0.95%0.64%
3	Rick Hanlon	4	4.54%	1.27%1.23%1.09%0.95%
1.27%1.23%1.09%0.95%
4	Nathan Followill	4	4.14%	1.27%1.05%1.00%0.82%
1.27%1.05%1.00%0.82%
5	Kent McMillin	4	3.55%	1.05%0.91%0.86%0.73%
1.05%0.91%0.86%0.73%
6	Charley Poe	3	3.50%	1.36%1.09%1.05%
1.36%1.09%1.05%
7	Soupa Dave	3	3.46%	1.32%1.14%1.00%
1.32%1.14%1.00%
8	Chris Vlahos	3	3.28%	1.23%1.14%0.91%
1.23%1.14%0.91%
9	Matthew Crabtree	4	3.27%	0.95%0.91%0.77%0.64%
0.95%0.91%0.77%0.64%
10	Ravi Sachan	3	3.13%	1.41%0.86%0.86%
1.41%0.86%0.86%
11	Jamie Baskin	4	3.05%	1.14%0.68%0.64%0.59%
1.14%0.68%0.64%0.59%
12	Jerod Jackson	2	2.59%	1.68%0.91%
1.68%0.91%
13	Brent Keally	3	2.58%	0.95%0.86%0.77%
0.95%0.86%0.77%
14	Steve Lee	2	2.55%	1.55%1.00%
1.55%1.00%
15	Eric Hardesty	3	2.54%	0.95%0.82%0.77%
0.95%0.82%0.77%
16	Wesley Steese	2	2.46%	1.55%0.91%
1.55%0.91%
17	Travis McAfee	2	2.45%	1.36%1.09%
1.36%1.09%
18	Robby Davis	2	2.28%	1.23%1.05%
1.23%1.05%
19	Jeff Haithcoat	2	2.27%	1.36%0.91%
1.36%0.91%
20	Jake Stribling	2	2.13%	1.27%0.86%
1.27%0.86%
21	Jeff Goodfriend	2	2.04%	1.09%0.95%
1.09%0.95%
22	Clint Newman	2	2.00%	1.14%0.86%
1.14%0.86%
23	Kent Pyle	2	2.00%	1.05%0.95%
1.05%0.95%
24	David Branton	2	1.86%	1.00%0.86%
1.00%0.86%
25	Taylor Constantine	1	1.82%	1.82%
1.82%
26	Matt Skellan	2	1.78%	1.14%0.64%
1.14%0.64%
27	Nick Akins	2	1.77%	0.91%0.86%
0.91%0.86%
28	Ben Willey	2	1.73%	1.00%0.73%
1.00%0.73%
29	Brian Shelton	1	1.68%	1.68%
1.68%
30	Chris Peck	2	1.54%	0.86%0.68%
0.86%0.68%
31	Chad Zaring	2	1.50%	0.77%0.73%
0.77%0.73%
32	Ryan Thompson	2	1.32%	0.68%0.64%
0.68%0.64%
33	Scott Gordon	1	1.23%	1.23%
1.23%
34	Graham Childs	1	1.09%	1.09%
1.09%
35	Tommy Bethel	1	1.00%	1.00%
1.00%
36	Jeff Ramsey	1	0.91%	0.91%
0.91%
37	Ben Foster	1	0.91%	0.91%
0.91%
38	Brandon Allan	1	0.86%	0.86%
0.86%
39	Rob Whitley	1	0.82%	0.82%
0.82%
40	Justin Titcombe	1	0.82%	0.82%
0.82%
41	Mark St. Amour	1	0.82%	0.82%
0.82%
42	Andy Patton	1	0.73%	0.73%
0.73%
43	Kyle Allen	1	0.73%	0.73%
0.73%
44	Scott Coleman	1	0.68%	0.68%
0.68%
45	Brandon Guy	1	0.64%	0.64%
0.64%
46	Alex Naddell	1	0.50%	0.50%
0.50%